6th Lowest Frost Depth since 1999

It is worth noting for my top 3 warmest winters, the frost depth stayed under 6″.

Below is a table that shows the top 10 warmest winters since 1999, and the maximum frost depth. Note that except for 2016 and 2020, the frost depth was no greater than 7.5″.

Top 10 Warmest Grandville Winters since 1999

So, why was the frost depth so deep in 2016, even through it was relatively warm winter? It’s a function how persistent the cold temperatures were, in combination with the snow depth.

In 2016, through it was an overall warm winter, when the frost depth got to 11.5 inches in mid February the snow depth stayed under 3″. Meanwhile the 7 day running mean temperature fell to 16.5 degrees. This year our lowest 7 day running mean temperature was 17.8 degrees, not really all that much warmer than in 2016, however this year the snow depth during that time was between 12 and 16 inches. The point being, to get a deep frost depth you need less than 5″ of snow depth and a 7 day running mean temperature below 20 degrees.

Unknown's avatar

Author: The Marinocast

I have just retired from forecasting for the National Weather Service (Dec 31 2022) after working there for 38 years. Prior to that I forecast for the United States Air Force from 1976 to 1984. I am very much into forecasting weather and climate and especially love snow storms.

Leave a comment