Our CONUS weather pattern is about to shift from cool west – warm east to warm west and cool east next week.
Category: climate
Climate Summaries for Both March and April 2024.
The national trend of top 20 warmest months on record continued for both March and April. March was overall wet compared to average while March was closer to normal. Snowfall was above normal over the western Mountains but below normal (mostly ) elsewhere.
Here is my first guess Summer of 2024 climate forecast.
This is a short version compared to my previous seasonal forecasts but I believe the shorter version will be easier to read. I may add details as the season progresses.
Looks Like May Will Start Out Warmer Than Normal Over Most Of The Eastern United States
The current cool weather pattern has recently developed over the central and norther Plains. That cold air is expected to spread east over the next week. Frost and freezing temperatures are possible in northern and central sections over the next 7 days. Than, a warmer and wetter weather pattern is expected over most of the eastern and central CONUS.
Storm Summary for April 11-12th, 2024 heavy rain and gusty wind event.
One to two inches of rain fell over a good part of Lower Michigan during this time. A rapidly deepening surface low tracked north across Lake Huron Friday, April 12, 2024 deepening below 980MB by late in the morning. This resulted in winds gusting to 40 to 60 mph across most of the area.
Here is my final forecast update for the Eclipse on Monday afternoon.
I waited for the evening HREF to come in so I could use the very latest model data for this forecast. Based on the HREF , NAM 12k m, NAM 3Km and the HRRR, it seems likely there will be high clouds over the Eclipse track from Indiana into Ohio. Being high clouds, more than likely you’d see some of the Eclipse. The best viewing still seems to be in over New Hampshire and Maine.
Where is the most likely location for you to go, based on the model cloud forecast so you can view the Total Solar Eclipse Monday?
I will update this forecast once the high resolution models get within 48 hours of the time of the Eclipse (2-3 pm Monday).
Note the times of Totality at various locations came from Astronomy as did slide #2.
Winter 2023-2024 Summary
This was both nationally and locally one of the warmest winters on record, with records going back to 1895. Nationally and locally snowfall was below to well below normal. Precipitation was mostly near normal.
Climate Summary For February
For Southwest Michigan, this was the warmest February on record. Both the total precipitation and snowfall were well below normal. Nationally this was the 3rd warmest and 40th driest on record.
Storm Summary for March 22, 2024
There was a narrow band of 5″ to 8″ of snow From Near Holland Michigan, across the Grand Rapids area, to just north of Flint. Most of the snow fell in about 12 hours.
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