Tag: forecast

Heavy Rain over Lower Michigan Thursday then Very Windy, with Showers Friday.

South of Michigan there is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes over Ohio, western Pennsylvanian, West Virginia, and Kentucky.

Here is my final forecast update for the Eclipse on Monday afternoon.

I waited for the evening HREF to come in so I could use the very latest model data for this forecast. Based on the HREF , NAM 12k m, NAM 3Km and the HRRR, it seems likely there will be high clouds over the Eclipse track from Indiana into Ohio. Being high clouds, more than likely you’d see some of the Eclipse. The best viewing still seems to be in over New Hampshire and Maine.

Here Is My Updated Cloudiness Forecast For The Eclipse Monday

Today I used the NAM 3km forecast since that now goes out, hour by hour to 8 pm on Monday. I hope tomorrow evening to update with the HREF, which I still believe is most reliable for cloud cover forecasting.

As for the best location to see the Eclipse,for those in this area, I would say anywhere along the track form Evansville Indiana to near Cleveland. Most of the models continue to favor this area .

Where is the most likely location for you to go, based on the model cloud forecast so you can view the Total Solar Eclipse Monday?

I will update this forecast once the high resolution models get within 48 hours of the time of the Eclipse (2-3 pm Monday).

Note the times of Totality at various locations came from Astronomy as did slide #2.

Winter Weather Expected Over Most of Lower Michigan Friday!

The National Weather Service offices across the western Great Lakes have all issued Winter Weather Advisories for this snowfall event that is expected to continue, even over Iowa into northern Illinois and Wisconsin into early Friday afternoon and over Lower Michigan into the early evening of Friday.

The following slides will show you the details of this event that is expected to bring up to 10″ of snow in about 12 hours to some locations in western Great Lakes. It will likely be the heaviest snowfall over most of the area since mid February.

Snow Expected over Wisconsin and Michigan late Thursday into Friday.

A narrow band of snowfall greater than 6″ in 12 hours is expected about 100 miles north of the track of the surface low. That would be near or just north of I-96 in Michigan. Snowfall rates in the heaviest snow area will be high enough to accumulate during the daytime, even in late March.