Tag: Winter Storm

Winter Weather Expected Over Most of Lower Michigan Friday!

The National Weather Service offices across the western Great Lakes have all issued Winter Weather Advisories for this snowfall event that is expected to continue, even over Iowa into northern Illinois and Wisconsin into early Friday afternoon and over Lower Michigan into the early evening of Friday.

The following slides will show you the details of this event that is expected to bring up to 10″ of snow in about 12 hours to some locations in western Great Lakes. It will likely be the heaviest snowfall over most of the area since mid February.

Snow Expected over Wisconsin and Michigan late Thursday into Friday.

A narrow band of snowfall greater than 6″ in 12 hours is expected about 100 miles north of the track of the surface low. That would be near or just north of I-96 in Michigan. Snowfall rates in the heaviest snow area will be high enough to accumulate during the daytime, even in late March.

January and Seasonal Snowfall Totals for Both Michigan and then the CONUS

Over Michigan, November and December featured well below normal snowfall. The first 2 1/2 weeks of January seem to be making up some of that deficit. Over the rest of the CONUS, seasonal snowfall mostly remains below normal.

Here Is a Summary of our Impressive Winter Storm from January 12th through the 15th

A rapidly deepening storm tracked Texas on Thursday afternoon to the northern Great Lakes by Saturday morning. The storm brought 1 to 2 feet of snow from Nebraska, across Iowa, Wisconsin then into Michigan. Strong winds accompanied the storm then the coldest air in several years followed the storm with dangerously cold wind chills over most of the Northern and Central Midwest. That cold air caused heavy lake effect snow in Michigan, near Buffalo New York and over the Tug Hill Plateau in the Adirondack Mountains, down wind of Lake Ontario.

A Look at the January 9-10th Storm and some impacts

This storm brought heavy snow to the Midwest and parts of the Great Lakes, then there were damaging winds over the eastern Seaboard, as well as flooding. Severe storms and over a dozen tornadoes occurred over the Southeast sections.

This is an updated version of my Winter Forecast

My actual forecast remains unchanged. I mostly updated the ENSO slides and added monthly model forecasts from the ECMWF and the CFSv2. 

CPC’s forecast for this winter has not changed significantly in the past few months.

The QBO should allow for more arctic air to reach the CONUS once we get into January and February.

I am thinking snowfall will generally be below normal over Michigan, however sections of the East Coast, from North Carolina to Maine could have well above normal snowfall since El Nino’s favor Nor-Easters (Coastal Storms). When we get into a cooler pattern in January, I’d expect to see some heavy snow events along the east coast. See slide 48 for details.